CoffeeCOFFEE

Daily Market Briefing

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Coffee · COFFEEBearish

Arabica coffee futures drop to $3.10 per pound amid Brazil's record harvest projections.

Arabica coffee futures declined to $3.10 per pound, the lowest since August 6, driven by expectations of a record Brazilian harvest of approximately 75 million bags. This anticipated surge in supply is pressuring prices, especially as Brazilian warehouses near capacity, potentially forcing farmers to sell more beans. However, concerns about erratic weather and potential El Niño effects on next year's crop persist.

Previous briefings

Coffee · COFFEEBearish

Arabica coffee futures drop 4.32% amid Brazilian harvest pressure

Arabica coffee futures declined by 4.32% on August 26, closing at $3.22 per pound, influenced by profit-taking and reports of nearing capacity in Brazilian warehouses. The Brazilian harvest is progressing amid drier weather, raising concerns about next year's crop due to potential El Niño effects.

Coffee · COFFEEBullish

Arabica coffee futures surge to $3.4 per pound amid tight inventories and supply concerns.

Arabica coffee futures have risen to $3.4 per pound, the highest level since July 9, driven by declining inventories and ongoing supply issues. ICE-certified Arabica stocks have fallen to a 26-year low, heightening the risk of supply disruptions. Brazil's coffee harvest is progressing slowly, with reports indicating drier conditions that may accelerate fieldwork but also raise concerns about crop quality. Additionally, the emerging El Niño pattern poses potential risks to future coffee production in major growing regions.

Coffee · COFFEEBullish

Arabica coffee futures surge nearly 6% amid slow Brazilian harvest and tight inventories.

Arabica coffee futures experienced a significant rally, closing at $3.4165 per pound on August 24, 2026, marking a 5.9% increase. This surge is attributed to a slower-than-expected Brazilian harvest, with only 81.1% of the crop harvested by August 14, compared to 86.1% in the same period last year. Additionally, ICE-certified Arabica inventories have declined to a 26-year low, intensifying supply concerns.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

Arabica coffee futures rise 1.2% to $1.925 per pound amid technical buying.

Arabica coffee futures experienced a modest increase, closing at $1.925 per pound, driven by technical buying after breaking through key moving averages. This uptick occurred despite a general decline in commodity markets and ample supply. The market remains cautious, balancing short-term technical factors with longer-term supply expectations.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

Brazil's coffee exports remain strong, but harvest delays tighten domestic supply

Brazil's coffee exports are robust, yet harvest delays are limiting domestic availability. The National Coffee Growers Federation highlights that while the 7.4-magnitude earthquake did not impact production, the El Niño phenomenon poses a significant threat to the upcoming harvest.

Coffee · COFFEEBearish

Colombian coffee harvest projected to drop 15% to 12.5 million bags in 2026

Colombia's coffee production is expected to decline by 15% in 2026, reaching 12.5 million bags, due to severe climate shocks, including excessive rainfall and the onset of El Niño. This reduction is anticipated to disrupt global supply chains and elevate prices.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

Coffee prices stabilize above $3.00 per pound amid global supply concerns.

Over the past 24 hours, coffee prices have remained steady above the $3.00 per pound mark. This stability is influenced by ongoing global supply concerns, including potential disruptions in major coffee-producing regions.

Coffee · COFFEEBullish

Coffee prices surge in New York amid low stocks and Brazilian harvest delays

In the past 24 hours, coffee prices in New York have experienced a significant increase due to a combination of factors. Brazil's coffee harvest is facing delays caused by rainfall in key producing regions, leading to a reduced supply of processed beans ready for export. Additionally, low physical stocks have intensified the upward pressure on prices.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant coffee market developments in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments in the coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. The market remains in a neutral state, with no major price movements or news to report.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

Coffee prices remain stable amid improved global supply outlook

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments impacting coffee prices. The market remains steady, with no major news or price fluctuations reported.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. The market remains in a neutral state, with no major price movements or news to report.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

In the last 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. The most recent comprehensive analysis, the World Bank's Commodity Markets Outlook from April 2026, projected a 13% decline in Arabica coffee prices for the year, citing improved supply conditions.

Coffee · COFFEEBearish

Coffee futures decline to $2.98/lb amid improved global supply forecasts

Coffee futures prices have fallen to $2.98 per pound, down from a peak of $3.75 in January 2026. This decline is attributed to improved global supply forecasts, particularly a significant increase in Brazilian Arabica production expected in the 2026-2027 season. The National Supply Company (Conab) anticipates a 17% increase in Brazilian coffee supply, with Arabica production projected to rise by over 23%.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant coffee market developments in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant coffee market developments in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the coffee market. The market remains influenced by ongoing factors such as global supply forecasts and geopolitical events.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant coffee market developments in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments in the coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant coffee market news in the past 24 hours; traders await data

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments in the coffee market. Traders are now looking ahead to upcoming data releases and events that may influence coffee prices.

Coffee · COFFEEBullish

Coffee prices surge to 50-year highs amid severe weather impacts

Coffee prices have reached their highest levels in five decades, driven by adverse weather conditions in key producing countries. Brazil, the world's largest coffee producer, is experiencing its fifth consecutive weak harvest due to droughts and erratic rainfall, leading to a significant reduction in yields. This supply constraint, coupled with increased global demand, has propelled coffee prices upward.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEENeutral

No significant market-moving news for Coffee in the past 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, there have been no significant developments affecting the Coffee market. Traders should monitor upcoming data releases, earnings reports, and central bank events for potential market-moving information.

Coffee · COFFEEBullish

Coffee prices surge as global inventories hit 2.5-year low amid Brazil harvest delays.

Over the past 24 hours, coffee prices have experienced a significant increase, reaching their highest levels in two weeks. This surge is primarily driven by a substantial decline in certified coffee inventories on the ICE Futures Exchange, which have fallen to their lowest point in nearly two and a half years. Additionally, concerns over the progress of the coffee harvest in Brazil, the world's largest producer, have further tightened supply expectations.

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