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Arabica coffee futures rebound 2.5% as ICE inventories decline.
Arabica coffee futures experienced a 2.5% increase, driven by a significant drop in ICE-certified inventories. This decline in stockpiles has raised concerns about supply tightness, contributing to the price uptick.
Previous briefings
Arabica coffee futures rebound as ICE inventories hit two-year low
Arabica coffee futures have rebounded from a one-month low, driven by technical signals and low buying. This uptick is offsetting a general decline in commodity markets and concerns over ample supply. Additionally, ICE-certified Arabica inventories have fallen to nearly 330,000 bags as of July 20, their lowest level in more than two years, indicating tightening supply.
Arabica coffee futures surge 5.9% amid tight supply and weather concerns
Arabica coffee futures experienced a significant rally, rising 5.9% to $3.4165 per pound, driven by tight physical supply and weather-related risks in key producing regions. The surge was further supported by a technical breakout and a weakening U.S. dollar.
Coffee prices decline amid Brazil's record harvest and storage constraints
Over the past week, coffee prices have fallen sharply due to expectations of a record coffee harvest in Brazil, leading to increased supply. Additionally, most warehouses in Brazil are no longer accepting new coffee supplies as storage space fills up, suggesting that farmers holding back sales in hopes of higher prices will have to increase coffee sales as storage space dwindles.
Arabica coffee futures decline to $3.00 per pound amid improved Brazil harvest outlook
Arabica coffee futures have fallen to $3.00 per pound, influenced by expectations of a larger Brazilian harvest and a potential global surplus in the 2026/27 season. Despite these projections, export delays in Brazil and logistical issues in Colombia are keeping certified arabica stocks tight until November.
Arabica coffee futures surge 4.32% amid dollar weakness and tight inventories
Arabica coffee futures experienced a significant increase of 4.32% on Friday, closing at a one-week high. This surge was driven by a decline in the U.S. dollar index to a seven-week low, which bolstered coffee prices. Additionally, the tightening of arabica coffee supplies, evidenced by ICE-monitored inventories falling to a 2.5-year low, contributed to the bullish sentiment.
Coffee futures decline 12.9% amid easing supply concerns from Brazil's harvest.
Coffee futures experienced a significant decline of 12.9% due to reports of Brazil's coffee warehouses filling up, indicating a recovery in production and easing global supply concerns. This development has alleviated previous worries about tight coffee supplies.
Arabica coffee inventories hit 26-year low, prices remain above $3 per pound
Arabica coffee inventories have fallen to their lowest level in over two decades, intensifying supply concerns and keeping futures prices firmly above $3 per pound. The decline underscores the fragility of global coffee supply chains and has triggered heightened volatility in futures markets.
Arabica coffee stocks hit 26-year low, supporting prices above $3 per lb.
Arabica coffee inventories on the ICE exchange have fallen to a 26-year low of 224,011 bags, tightening supply and keeping futures prices above $3 per lb. Brazilian farmers are holding back sales due to logistics issues and storage advantages, despite a forecasted record crop and expected surplus by 2026-27. This scarcity has led to price volatility and forced traders to buy back contracts, reinforcing high prices and maintaining the benchmark status of ICE arabica futures.
Arabica coffee futures drop to $3.10 per pound amid Brazil's record harvest projections.
Arabica coffee futures declined to $3.10 per pound, the lowest since August 6, driven by expectations of a record Brazilian harvest of approximately 75 million bags. This anticipated surge in supply is pressuring prices, especially as Brazilian warehouses near capacity, potentially forcing farmers to sell more beans. However, concerns about erratic weather and potential El Niño effects on next year's crop persist.
Arabica coffee futures drop 4.32% amid Brazilian harvest pressure
Arabica coffee futures declined by 4.32% on August 26, closing at $3.22 per pound, influenced by profit-taking and reports of nearing capacity in Brazilian warehouses. The Brazilian harvest is progressing amid drier weather, raising concerns about next year's crop due to potential El Niño effects.
Arabica coffee futures surge to $3.4 per pound amid tight inventories and supply concerns.
Arabica coffee futures have risen to $3.4 per pound, the highest level since July 9, driven by declining inventories and ongoing supply issues. ICE-certified Arabica stocks have fallen to a 26-year low, heightening the risk of supply disruptions. Brazil's coffee harvest is progressing slowly, with reports indicating drier conditions that may accelerate fieldwork but also raise concerns about crop quality. Additionally, the emerging El Niño pattern poses potential risks to future coffee production in major growing regions.
Arabica coffee futures surge nearly 6% amid slow Brazilian harvest and tight inventories.
Arabica coffee futures experienced a significant rally, closing at $3.4165 per pound on August 24, 2026, marking a 5.9% increase. This surge is attributed to a slower-than-expected Brazilian harvest, with only 81.1% of the crop harvested by August 14, compared to 86.1% in the same period last year. Additionally, ICE-certified Arabica inventories have declined to a 26-year low, intensifying supply concerns.
Arabica coffee futures rise 1.2% to $1.925 per pound amid technical buying.
Arabica coffee futures experienced a modest increase, closing at $1.925 per pound, driven by technical buying after breaking through key moving averages. This uptick occurred despite a general decline in commodity markets and ample supply. The market remains cautious, balancing short-term technical factors with longer-term supply expectations.
Brazil's coffee exports remain strong, but harvest delays tighten domestic supply
Brazil's coffee exports are robust, yet harvest delays are limiting domestic availability. The National Coffee Growers Federation highlights that while the 7.4-magnitude earthquake did not impact production, the El Niño phenomenon poses a significant threat to the upcoming harvest.
Colombian coffee harvest projected to drop 15% to 12.5 million bags in 2026
Colombia's coffee production is expected to decline by 15% in 2026, reaching 12.5 million bags, due to severe climate shocks, including excessive rainfall and the onset of El Niño. This reduction is anticipated to disrupt global supply chains and elevate prices.
Coffee prices stabilize above $3.00 per pound amid global supply concerns.
Over the past 24 hours, coffee prices have remained steady above the $3.00 per pound mark. This stability is influenced by ongoing global supply concerns, including potential disruptions in major coffee-producing regions.
Coffee prices surge in New York amid low stocks and Brazilian harvest delays
In the past 24 hours, coffee prices in New York have experienced a significant increase due to a combination of factors. Brazil's coffee harvest is facing delays caused by rainfall in key producing regions, leading to a reduced supply of processed beans ready for export. Additionally, low physical stocks have intensified the upward pressure on prices.
Coffee futures decline to $2.98/lb amid improved global supply forecasts
Coffee futures prices have fallen to $2.98 per pound, down from a peak of $3.75 in January 2026. This decline is attributed to improved global supply forecasts, particularly a significant increase in Brazilian Arabica production expected in the 2026-2027 season. The National Supply Company (Conab) anticipates a 17% increase in Brazilian coffee supply, with Arabica production projected to rise by over 23%.
Coffee prices surge to 50-year highs amid severe weather impacts
Coffee prices have reached their highest levels in five decades, driven by adverse weather conditions in key producing countries. Brazil, the world's largest coffee producer, is experiencing its fifth consecutive weak harvest due to droughts and erratic rainfall, leading to a significant reduction in yields. This supply constraint, coupled with increased global demand, has propelled coffee prices upward.
Coffee prices surge as global inventories hit 2.5-year low amid Brazil harvest delays.
Over the past 24 hours, coffee prices have experienced a significant increase, reaching their highest levels in two weeks. This surge is primarily driven by a substantial decline in certified coffee inventories on the ICE Futures Exchange, which have fallen to their lowest point in nearly two and a half years. Additionally, concerns over the progress of the coffee harvest in Brazil, the world's largest producer, have further tightened supply expectations.
Coffee prices surge as Brazilian Real strengthens, impacting global supply.
Over the past 24 hours, coffee prices have experienced a significant uptick, primarily driven by the strengthening of the Brazilian Real against the US Dollar. This currency movement has led Brazilian producers to withhold supply from international markets, tightening global coffee availability. Additionally, adverse weather conditions in Brazil, including heavy rains, have disrupted the coffee harvest, further constraining supply.
USDA forecasts record global coffee production and exports in 2026/27.
The USDA projects a 6% increase in global coffee production for the 2026/27 marketing year, reaching a record 189.667 million bags. This surge is driven by strong harvests in major producing countries, including Brazil, Vietnam, Ethiopia, and Uganda. Despite the higher output, global coffee consumption is also expected to rise, leading to a substantial supply surplus.
Coffee futures decline as USDA forecasts record global production
Coffee futures have fallen for the third consecutive day, influenced by the USDA's projection of a record global coffee production of 189.7 million 60-kilogram bags for the 2026/27 season. This anticipated surplus has intensified speculative selling, leading to a decline in both arabica and robusta coffee futures.
Coffee futures decline amid global supply surplus and stagnant Brazilian market.
Coffee futures experienced a decline due to a projected global supply surplus and a lack of activity in the Brazilian market. The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts a 6% increase in global coffee production for the 2026/27 crop year, reaching a record 189.7 million bags. This surplus is expected to partially replenish stocks despite record consumption levels. In Brazil, the physical coffee market remains inactive as producers resist selling, leading to a standstill in transactions.
Coffee futures decline amid intensified origin selling and profit-taking.
In the past 24 hours, coffee futures have experienced a downturn due to increased origin selling, particularly from Colombia, and profit-taking by investors. These factors have led to price reversals after recent gains.
Arabica coffee futures rise 1.33% to $3.22 per pound amid favorable Brazilian weather
Arabica coffee futures increased by 1.33% to $3.22 per pound, driven by favorable weather conditions in Brazil and a weaker U.S. dollar. The Brazilian harvest is progressing, and the real's depreciation supports export competitiveness.
Coffee futures decline as Brazilian harvest delays and El Niño concerns persist
Coffee futures have experienced a decline due to ongoing delays in Brazil's coffee harvest and concerns over the El Niño weather phenomenon. These factors have led to market volatility and cautious trading behavior among producers.
Coffee prices rise as Robusta futures increase; Arabica declines amid weather concerns
Over the past 24 hours, Robusta coffee futures have seen a slight increase, with the September 2026 contract closing at $3,877 per ton, up 0.6%. In contrast, Arabica futures for September 2026 fell 4.2% to 320.3 cents per pound, influenced by profit-taking and concerns over Brazil's crop. Domestically, coffee prices in Vietnam's Central Highlands rose to 97,500–98,000 VND/kg, with Dak Lak reaching 98,000 VND/kg.
Coffee prices decline amid record Brazilian exports and El Niño concerns
In the past 24 hours, coffee prices have experienced a significant decline due to record coffee exports from Brazil and concerns over the El Niño phenomenon potentially reducing the 2026/27 Brazilian harvest by 15–20%. These factors have led to increased market volatility and downward pressure on prices.
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