Neutral
USDA forecasts record global coffee production and exports in 2026/27.
The USDA projects a 6% increase in global coffee production for the 2026/27 marketing year, reaching a record 189.667 million bags. This surge is driven by strong harvests in major producing countries, including Brazil, Vietnam, Ethiopia, and Uganda. Despite the higher output, global coffee consumption is also expected to rise, leading to a substantial supply surplus.
Key points
- Indonesia's coffee exports to Belgium reached US$320 million in 2025, highlighting strong demand in European markets.
- Arabica coffee futures have been volatile, oscillating between $3.20 and $3.50 per pound, influenced by weather conditions and harvest progress in Brazil.
- Domestic coffee prices in Vietnam have seen fluctuations, with prices ranging from 94,200 to 94,700 VND/kg as of July 25, 2026.
Sources
- USDA forecasts record global coffee production and exports in 2026/27Food Business Middle East & Africa · July 25, 2026
- RI records potential US$10.8 million in 2026 World of Coffee BrusselsANTARA News · July 24, 2026
- Arabica Coffee Futures Stay VolatileTrading Economics · July 10, 2026
- Giá cà phê hôm nay 25/7/2026: Trong nước mất gần 2.000 đồngNông Nghiệp Môi Trường · July 25, 2026
AI-generated from public news sources. Not financial advice.