Coffee · COFFEE Daily Market Briefing

Bearish

Coffee prices decline amid record Brazilian exports and El Niño concerns

In the past 24 hours, coffee prices have experienced a significant decline due to record coffee exports from Brazil and concerns over the El Niño phenomenon potentially reducing the 2026/27 Brazilian harvest by 15–20%. These factors have led to increased market volatility and downward pressure on prices.

Key points

  • Record Brazilian coffee exports in June increased by 14.4% year-on-year, reaching 2.64 million bags, contributing to downward pressure on prices.
  • The El Niño phenomenon is expected to reduce the 2026/27 Brazilian coffee harvest by 15–20%, raising concerns about future supply shortages.
  • ICE Arabica futures experienced extreme volatility in early July, including a 16% single-day surge, driven by supply concerns in Brazil and low inventories.
  • The WisdomTree Coffee 3x Daily Leveraged ETF rose by 7.20% to €8.86 on July 17, reflecting market volatility and investor sentiment.

Sources

AI-generated from public news sources. Not financial advice.

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